Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1209.674443 1367.886727 1541.666208 1747.148640 1984.042825 2249.239342 2569.516877
2025-11-30 975.348385 1190.153833 1447.212980 1779.434918 2200.202984 2719.028458 3412.839977
2025-12-07 812.273795 1042.085568 1333.201673 1732.725301 2272.495902 2984.587639 4008.700678
2025-12-14 697.258050 930.389529 1239.275444 1684.033978 2317.173608 3200.053564 4549.119632
2025-12-21 606.698100 836.440637 1152.475508 1626.349779 2331.706298 3363.461613 5025.760891
2025-12-28 568.181830 808.024045 1149.975053 1683.110339 2511.827637 3782.285105 5939.771692
2026-01-04 527.539864 770.970981 1129.182003 1707.413615 2641.914601 4136.848696 6801.126292
2026-01-11 489.526703 733.196735 1102.144907 1716.849378 2746.433001 4459.679905 7654.147213
2026-01-18 456.093299 698.700053 1075.835481 1722.906331 2843.526062 4778.851205 8546.048194
2026-01-25 434.708125 680.770393 1073.274360 1766.513622 3007.622734 5232.312042 9755.401332
2026-02-01 413.530094 660.969360 1065.259660 1798.958199 3154.276702 5671.138664 11006.448030
2026-02-08 392.445494 639.281796 1051.708089 1819.451374 3280.165542 6085.450008 12275.134311
2026-02-15 372.177034 617.780237 1037.378623 1838.606055 3409.038329 6529.588406 13702.946532
2026-02-22 355.871627 601.792104 1031.293342 1872.487889 3571.145042 7064.656699 15437.929354
2026-03-01 329.017572 564.874129 984.288148 1823.024030 3558.974537 7232.910833 16352.903773
2026-03-08 304.569752 530.356706 938.699149 1771.467351 3535.716456 7372.688241 17223.108559
2026-03-15 281.196301 496.066520 890.752911 1710.402779 3484.881184 7443.620795 17933.440212
2026-03-22 274.900264 493.044873 901.761806 1770.489465 3704.383525 8163.393166 20477.284300
2026-03-29 264.919329 482.226127 896.673652 1796.221447 3849.989554 8730.086601 22729.603978
2026-04-05 253.916718 468.593666 884.856338 1806.212631 3960.362532 9226.814518 24893.171116
2026-04-12 243.344134 455.023846 872.037420 1812.626328 4062.898107 9718.942142 27154.322510
2026-04-19 237.441101 450.299548 876.859684 1858.806865 4267.492688 10508.034982 30515.972786
2026-04-26 230.715680 443.405388 876.559820 1893.171427 4447.053866 11259.077269 33945.729353